I just read a fascinating proposition by one of my favorite writers on the AI topic (link below).
His premise is that because LLMs and any ML model in current use is based on statistics, and ultimately just provides a highly likely answer, it will be inherently wrong a certain percentage of the time, and no amount of GPUs or training will change that, because it’s inherent to the technology.
Furthermore, the failure of successful AI deployments, including the MIT study making the rounds in recent weeks, is actually not a failure of the technology, but a failure of us not understanding and using it accordingly.
We (companies and users) have built a life of technology that is supposedly deterministic and predictable with the results. We go to great lengths to test, create redundancy, and other processes to guarantee a successful output. We do not achieve 100%, but a common bar is 5x 9s (99.999% uptime) as an acceptable result.
Coming from world of thinking that way, we really can’t wrap our head around a technology that may only be 95% correct and will never be more.
But that is a failure of imagination, not a failure of the technology. We have to start thinking about AI differently, and deploy it in ways where it being right 95% of the time is still a winning proposition. Which only means we need some backup methods (most likely human for now) that be the backstop for the remaining 5%. So we benefit from getting fast results 95% of the time, and we figure out a way to make the other 5% work.
What does that mean for post production and Flame artists?
In short: we’ll be very busy for years to come.
If you accept this line of thinking GenAI tools will never generate perfect key art. But it will happily and more affordably generate elements of key art, or key art that can get there with some help from a Flame artist. Or background elements. Or various data channels like normals maps, and so forth.
We as artists support that of course.
Where this still fails is in the corporate leadership which rather just think the ranks and the keys to machines. They’re the ones that need to appreciate that to make the most out of AI, we should use it as part of our processes, not to replace everything and have the next TVC just ‘vibe-designed’.
Article: A Mistake folks make about AI